Fun

Bitcoin Cycle Structure Questioned As VDD Mirrors Historic Tops

News Feed - 2025-09-06 03:09:35

Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Bitcoin is trading above the $112,000 level, but its momentum is faltering as selling pressure intensifies. Analysts are divided on what comes next, with some calling for another correction and others suggesting that BTC may continue consolidating before any decisive move. The uncertainty highlights the fragile balance between bullish optimism and market caution. Related Reading Bitmine Adds Another $65.3M In Ethereum – Details 1 day ago


Top analyst Darkfost shared insights that bring back a long-running debate: Does Bitcoin’s traditional cycle structure still hold? While opinions vary, one factor remains consistent across cycles—the influence of long-term holders. Dormant BTC, when moved, often unleashes powerful selling pressure, a dynamic still capable of shaking the market. This cycle has already confirmed that pattern.


As BTC climbed to its all-time high earlier this year, Coin Days Destroyed (CDD)—a key on-chain metric tracking the movement of older coins—spiked noticeably. Historically, such spikes have aligned with tops and significant corrections, showing that long-term holders continue to play a decisive role in shaping market direction. Value Days Destroyed Signals Potential Relief For Bitcoin


According to Darkfost, the Value Days Destroyed (VDD) metric is offering crucial insights into Bitcoin’s current market structure. Much like Coin Days Destroyed (CDD), VDD tracks the movement of older coins, but it adds another layer by weighting this activity according to price. This adjustment introduces the concept of “value destruction,” giving more weight to long-term holders selling when BTC prices are higher, and less when they are lower. As a result, VDD provides a more nuanced picture of the influence older coins exert on the market. Bitcoin Value Days Destroyed | Source: Darkfost


Recently, VDD reached a level of 2.4, a threshold historically associated with significant selling pressure. In past cycles, spikes to this range have often marked moments when long-term holders locked in profits, contributing to local tops or sharp corrections. The latest spike aligned with Bitcoin’s push to its all-time high, reflecting the familiar pattern of dormant supply resurfacing at peak prices.


However, VDD has since been declining, now approaching levels similar to those seen during prior correction phases. This suggests that the intensity of selling from long-term holders is easing. If this trend continues, the market may find relief from one of its most persistent sources of supply pressure.


Ultimately, easing VDD levels could set the stage for renewed upward momentum, but the key factor will be demand. Without strong inflows and renewed conviction from buyers, the reduction in selling pressure alone may not be enough to spark a sustainable rally. Still, the moderation of long-term holder activity is a promising sign that Bitcoin could stabilize and prepare for another attempt higher in the coming weeks. Related Reading Bitcoin Market Base Turns Neutral-Bearish As Flows Stay Weak 1 day ago Price Action Details: Pushing Above $110K


Bitcoin is currently trading at $112,286, showing a slight recovery after weeks of selling pressure that pulled the price down from its recent all-time high near $123,217. The chart reveals that BTC is still consolidating within a corrective structure, testing the mid-range between support and resistance levels. BTC struggles to push above $115K | Source:BTCUSDT chart on TradingView


The 50-day moving average (blue line) is trending above the current price, acting as near-term resistance around $115K, while the 100-day moving average (green line) sits close to current levels, providing a short-term pivot point. The 200-day moving average (red line) is much lower at $101K, serving as a deeper structural support if bearish pressure intensifies. Related Reading Bitcoin And Ethereum Exchange Inflows Overshadow Stablecoin Demand – Details 2 days ago


BTC is forming higher lows after its recent dip to the $110K area, signaling that buyers are cautiously stepping back in. However, momentum remains limited, and the chart shows the market has yet to reclaim any major resistance levels. A breakout above $115K would be needed to shift sentiment and open the way toward retesting the $120K–$123K zone.


Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

News Feed

Big Money Enters BNB, Pushing Crypto To $801 ATH—Details
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and pu
FTX’s Gary Wang and Alameda’s Caroline Ellison Plead Guilty to Fraud, Duo Is ‘Cooperating’ With Feds
FTX"s Gary Wang and Alameda"s Caroline Ellison Plead Guilty to Fraud, Duo Is "Cooperating" With Feds On Dec. 21, 2022, U.S. attorney Damian Williams announced that the Southern Dis
DentaVox: Market Statistics Powered by Blockchain
DentaVox: Market Statistics Powered by BlockchainBack in November 2017, the Netherlands-based Dentacoin Foundation launched its market research platform DentaVox among other softwar
Ethereum Price Consolidates: Preparing for the Next Move Higher?
Este artículo también está disponible en español. Ethereum price is consolidating gains above the $2,580 resistance. ETH could gain pace if it clears the $2,650 resistanc
Savannah Fortis14 hours agoEU tech coalition warns of over-regulating AI before EU AI Act finalizationA group of 33 businesses and tech companies have signed a joint letter to EU regulators urging them not to over-regula
LBank Exchange Will List LMCSWAP on November 15, 2021
LBank Exchange Will List LMCSWAP on November 15, 2021 press release PRESS RELEASE. INTERNET CITY, DUBAI, Nov. 15, 2021 – LBank Exchange, a global digital asset trading platfo
Tron Founder Justin Sun Purchases Joker Tpunk NFT for $10.5 Million
Tron Founder Justin Sun Purchases Joker Tpunk NFT for $10.5 Million Justin Sun, founder of Tron, a smart contract-enabled cryptocurrency, announced he purchased an NFT avatar for $
BIA Dinner: Alchemy Pay CEO John Tan Celebrates Milestones of 150 Key Nodes and 200K Supporters
BIA Dinner: Alchemy Pay CEO John Tan Celebrates Milestones of 150 Key Nodes and 200K Supporters sponsored Some of the premier figures in crypto gathered at the Waldorf Astoria, Shan
BHEX Rebranded as HBTC Exchange & Launch Innovative HBC 10x PE Repurchase Plan
BHEX Rebranded as HBTC Exchange & Launch Innovative HBC 10x PE Repurchase Plan BHEX has rebranded as HBTC Exchange with a new domain of HBTC.com. According to the sharing from James
While the Crypto Market Was Hemorrhaging Value, These Tokens Mooned
While the Crypto Market Was Hemorrhaging Value, These Tokens Mooned Why do certain altcoins moon? It’s a question that all crypto holders have pondered at some stage while
TRON Faces Key Resistance With Potential Breakout Target at $0.50
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and pu
Pre-Register Now on Aladdin Exchange to Receive 100 TNC Coins
Pre-Register Now on Aladdin Exchange to Receive 100 TNC Coins PRESS RELEASE. UAE-based crypto exchange Aladdinopens its platform for pre-registered users. This d